Monday, January 10, 2022

What's Up with These Guys?

 What's Up with These Guys?- January 2022

These are not necessarily breakout players. Could they be? Sure. These are more "on your radar kind of guys." Depending on how deep your league is of course. 

These are guys I kept coming across this off-season either on leader boards or just guys some people seem to think hung the moon and others don't even know their name. They are guys I kept asking myself "What's up with these guys?" and "what do you make of these guys?" 

So, I ask you, what do you make of these guys? 


Ryan Murphy, P, SFG:

In 2021 who led the minor leagues in strikeouts? Cade Cavalli with 175. 

Who was second? Carson Ragsdale. He's 6'8" and struck out 167 at Low A at the age of 23...but with a 4.43 ERA. 

Just behind Ragsdale was Giants pitcher Ryan Murphy. The 21 year old threw 107.1 innings across Low and High A striking out 164 and walking just 26. Wow! That is perhaps the quietest 13.8 K/9 season I can remember. If he hadn't injured his back he probably would have led all of minor league baseball in strikeouts. 

Murphy was a fifth round selection by the Giants in 2020 out of Le Moyne College. Where? The same school that produced Josiah Gray...so what's up with Murphy? 

Control and command are the name of the game for Murphy. He pounds the strike zone. His fastball isn't overwhelming, sitting 91-94. He has 3, maybe 4 additional pitches. A slider, curveball, developing change-up, and cut fastball off some of his sliders. 

 This probably isn't a huge ceiling profile for a pitcher but certainly there is some good floor. Add in the Giants voodoo with pitchers of late and this is certainly an intriguing arm that's not getting enough hype. 


Jayce Easley, OF, TEX:

Same game different category. Who led all of MiLB in steals last year? Answer: Jayce Easley, son of former big leaguer Damion Easley. And just what did that season look like? 70 steals in 80 attempts....in just 98 games. 

Now wait just a second. All of this was in A Ball where they had the wonderful idea that to speed up the game the pitcher could only throw over twice...because that was being so abused, right? That is to say though that played a factor in this. Still, that doesn't account for all 70 steals. 

Ok, so he's fast. But what if I told you he also walked 78 times to 83 strikeouts in 401 plate appearances. He hit .244 with a .403 OBP. He also added 15 extra base hits (1 Home Run, 11 doubles, 3 triples). All at just 21 years old so he wasn't necessarily old for the level either. 

So what do you make of this? I don't know...the speed and plate discipline are intriguing. The MLB pedigree is there. I'm certainly intrigued but I need to see more. He's one I'm watching closely as he climbs the ladder. 


Carlos Jorge, SS, CIN:

The Dominican League is about as boom or bust as it comes. It's where breakouts seem to start or where busts become apparent. Sometimes both can happen. A player breaks out in the Dominican League and then they never show anything again. All that said, the leader from the Dominican League last Summer in OPS? Carlos Jorge of the Reds. He came onto my radar from one of Michael Richards @MPRichards1981 tweets. If you aren't following him, do it. 

He hit .346 AVG. with a .436 OBP. 3 Homers and 27 steals in 32 attempts. He also added 8 doubles and 10 triples. 

Is this the start of a breakout? Only time will tell, but I'm certainly interested. He wasn't a huge signing bonus guy for the Reds but that doesn't mean he couldn't have been a steal. 


Johan Rojas, OF, PHI:

Rojas didn't lead any categories he's just an interesting profile I keep coming across. People either love him or have no idea who he is. His 2021 was certainly interesting. 

Across Low and High A (and one Rookie league game) he hit: 

.262/.329/.417, 11 HR, 34 SB

The power speed is interesting. He was just 20 this year. The small 17 game sample of High A in particular was very interesting. His success or failure will depend on his plate discipline. There's some swing and miss, although not an overly concerning amount of strikeouts. But he just isn't walking enough yet. 

Last spring Rojas was getting rave reviews everywhere- writers, coaches, front office. He certainly impressed in 2021 but didn't skyrocket up rankings. That doesn't mean he won't. He's another one to watch how he looks out of the gates in 2022. 


Photo credit: prospects1500.com

Monday, January 3, 2022

Top 50 2022 FYPD Rankings

 With J2 signing right around the corner many leagues with First Year Player Drafts will begin drafting in the coming weeks. Overall this is a weaker class than recent years. I lean upside in a class like this over floor. In a recent FYPD mock I did I took prep players or international players with 7 of my first 10 picks. My strategy is to take lottery tickets. If they hit, they soar up the rankings. If they don't I just replace them with breakouts in season. I also in this class am looking for prospects who may still be available in your leagues that are easily better than a lot of this class.

 Here are my top 50 FYPD players for 2022: 

  1. Jack Leiter, P, TEX
  2. Marcelo Mayer, SS, BOS
  3. Brady House, SS, WAS
  4. Jordan Lawlar, SS, ARI
  5. Khalil Watson, SS, MIA
  6. Seiya Suzuki, OF, FA
  7. Henry Davis, C, PIT
  8. Colton Cowser, OF, BAL
  9. Trey Sweeney, SS, NYY
  10. Harry Ford, C, SEA
  11. Matt McClain, SS, CIN
  12. Benny Montgomery, OF, COL
  13. Roderick Arias, SS, NYY
  14. James Triantos, SS, CHC
  15. Cristian Vaquero, OF, WAS
  16. Jackson Jobe, P, DET
  17. Sal Frelick, OF, MIL
  18. Jay Allen, OF, CIN
  19. Andrew Painter, P, PHI
  20. William Bergolla, SS, PHI
  21. Sam Bachman, P, LAA
  22. Gunnar Hoglund, P, TOR
  23. Gavin Williams, P, CLE
  24. Ricardo Cabrera, SS, CIN
  25. Ryan Cusick, P, ATL
  26. Connor Norby, 2B, BAL
  27. Jackson Merrill, SS, SDP
  28. Ty Madden, P, DET
  29. Jordan Wicks, P, CHC
  30. Will Bednar, P, SFG
  31. Lazaro Montes, OF, SEA
  32. Oscar Colas, OF, CHW
  33. Chase Petty, P, MIN
  34. James Wood, OF, SDP
  35. Alex Binelas, 3B, BOS
  36. Lonnie White, OF, PIT
  37. Carson Williams, SS, TBR
  38. Colson Montgomery, SS, CHW
  39. Joshua Baez, OF, STL
  40. Zack Gelof, 3B, OAK
  41. Anthony Gutierrez, OF, WAS
  42. Samuel Munoz, OF, LAD
  43. Wes Kath, 3B, CHW
  44. Michael McGreevy, P, STL
  45. Jaden Hill, P, COL
  46. Max Muncy, SS, OAK
  47. Aaron Zavala, OF, TEX
  48. Christian Franklin, OF, CHC
  49. Frank Mozzicato, P, KCR
  50. Bubba Chandler, RHP, PIT
Photo credit: lookoutlanding.com